Preseason Rankings
Central Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#154
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.8#40
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#86
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#251
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.9% 7.0% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.7 13.6
.500 or above 48.6% 49.4% 16.6%
.500 or above in Conference 52.6% 53.2% 27.1%
Conference Champion 7.9% 8.0% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.7% 8.3% 22.2%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
First Round6.6% 6.8% 0.8%
Second Round1.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Home) - 97.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 42 - 7
Quad 35 - 67 - 13
Quad 48 - 215 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2019 353   Mississippi Valley W 89-68 98%    
  Nov 16, 2019 186   Sam Houston St. W 80-75 69%    
  Nov 21, 2019 70   @ Minnesota L 73-83 18%    
  Nov 26, 2019 97   @ DePaul L 78-85 27%    
  Nov 30, 2019 225   Youngstown St. W 85-78 73%    
  Dec 06, 2019 258   Tennessee Martin W 87-78 78%    
  Dec 08, 2019 199   @ Valparaiso L 72-73 50%    
  Dec 14, 2019 24   @ Texas L 67-82 9%    
  Dec 17, 2019 273   @ Robert Morris W 76-72 63%    
  Dec 28, 2019 12   @ Purdue L 69-87 6%    
  Jan 04, 2020 150   Miami (OH) W 78-75 59%    
  Jan 07, 2020 147   Northern Illinois W 78-75 59%    
  Jan 11, 2020 129   @ Kent St. L 77-81 35%    
  Jan 14, 2020 112   @ Toledo L 74-80 30%    
  Jan 18, 2020 104   Buffalo L 86-87 48%    
  Jan 25, 2020 120   Ball St. W 81-80 51%    
  Jan 28, 2020 150   @ Miami (OH) L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 01, 2020 231   @ Western Michigan W 80-79 55%    
  Feb 04, 2020 108   Bowling Green L 82-83 49%    
  Feb 08, 2020 104   @ Buffalo L 83-90 29%    
  Feb 11, 2020 222   Eastern Michigan W 74-67 71%    
  Feb 15, 2020 132   Akron W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 18, 2020 217   @ Ohio W 79-78 52%    
  Feb 22, 2020 147   @ Northern Illinois L 75-78 39%    
  Feb 25, 2020 112   Toledo L 77-78 50%    
  Feb 29, 2020 222   @ Eastern Michigan W 71-70 53%    
  Mar 03, 2020 120   @ Ball St. L 77-83 33%    
  Mar 06, 2020 231   Western Michigan W 83-76 73%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.3 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 7.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.0 1.9 0.5 0.1 8.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.4 1.7 0.2 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.6 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.8 2.5 0.3 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.9 2.9 0.4 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.5 3.2 0.9 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.2 3.3 0.8 0.0 8.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.7 2.2 0.9 0.1 7.4 11th
12th 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.1 12th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.9 5.2 6.9 9.1 9.8 11.1 10.9 10.4 8.9 7.5 6.1 4.4 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 95.5% 1.2    1.1 0.1
15-3 78.4% 2.0    1.5 0.5 0.0
14-4 51.5% 2.3    1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 23.7% 1.5    0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.8% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.9% 7.9 4.7 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 81.2% 49.2% 31.9% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 62.9%
17-1 0.4% 63.6% 39.3% 24.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 40.0%
16-2 1.3% 52.1% 39.6% 12.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 20.7%
15-3 2.6% 40.7% 33.1% 7.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.5 11.4%
14-4 4.4% 26.6% 24.8% 1.8% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.2 2.4%
13-5 6.1% 14.8% 14.3% 0.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.2 0.6%
12-6 7.5% 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.6 0.0%
11-7 8.9% 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 8.3 0.0%
10-8 10.4% 5.3% 5.3% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.9
9-9 10.9% 3.3% 3.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.5
8-10 11.1% 1.3% 1.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.9
7-11 9.8% 1.0% 1.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.7
6-12 9.1% 0.5% 0.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 9.0
5-13 6.9% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 6.9
4-14 5.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.2
3-15 2.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 6.9% 6.2% 0.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 93.1 0.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%